I see no great changes on the economic horizon coming our way. What we have been experiencing the past six months will continue, at least for the near future.
The federal government has been very successful at keeping mortgage costs at record low rates. I believe it would be in everyone’s best interest if the low rates were to continue into the next year or two. The cost of maintaining the low rates will be considerable to taxpayers, as the government has been purchasing the mortgages as they are created to avoid a potential increase in rates, due to a shortage of mortgage buyers in the private sector. For the near future, I expect that interest rates will continue to be at all-time lows with minimal changes.
Foreclosures are expected to continue at a steady rate for the next two years. The peak in the number of new mortgages created was in 2007, and many of those mortgages were written with three to five year terms, with contracts calling for a rollover to adjustable rates at the end of the term. It will be difficult for residential real estate values to reach a consistent and predictable level until the foreclosures have left the market place.
I expect the volatility in the stock market to continue with no end in sight. There are so many entities using computer programs to buy and sell securities that volatility is pre-programed into the current system. If you are someone who likes to follow the value of stocks on a regular basis, you will feel like you are riding a roller coaster.
If you are considering the purchase of gold as a hedge against inflation and a safe place to put your money I recommend using caution. I have seen information that suggests that gold certificates are being sold to the public and the gold is not being purchased to support the certificate.
An interesting observation I have made during this difficult economic time is the number of people with significant amounts of cash to spend. Real estate is changing hands without the benefit of financing, and property is selling in a matter of days or weeks if it is priced at today’s market values. I have been involved in the real estate and financial services business since the early 1970s, and I have never seen such diversity in the market place. Though there are many people losing their property to foreclosure, there are also many people willing to pay cash for real estate.
These are stirring times for those of us making our living operating a small business. Going back to the basic principles of successful business operation, and then holding fast to those business principles on a daily basis, seems to be the only logical avenue to follow in order to both survive the difficult times we are faced with, and to be in a position to prosper when the economy begins to move forward again.
By: Jack Van Rossum














